Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.185374 1.340676 1.510432 1.710047 1.938709 2.192883 2.497405
2025-12-14 0.927062 1.126228 1.361401 1.660671 2.032938 2.482771 3.070549
2025-12-21 0.750761 0.965819 1.236052 1.602835 2.091192 2.723927 3.613721
2025-12-28 0.669525 0.904862 1.216928 1.665046 2.298628 3.172220 4.484967
2026-01-04 0.602020 0.848879 1.191798 1.709009 2.479923 3.603179 5.394520
2026-01-11 0.546368 0.799710 1.166389 1.744168 2.647145 4.030189 6.358981
2026-01-18 0.497300 0.752524 1.135752 1.763883 2.788674 4.431590 7.340074
2026-01-25 0.445792 0.694678 1.080743 1.736126 2.847371 4.703762 8.143349
2026-02-01 0.392531 0.627658 1.002974 1.660228 2.813537 4.812593 8.671976
2026-02-08 0.352845 0.578067 0.947425 1.613617 2.821503 4.990564 9.347799
2026-02-15 0.320683 0.537497 0.902235 1.578719 2.844033 5.194384 10.099681
2026-02-22 0.306932 0.526759 0.906482 1.631596 3.032892 5.730391 11.593342
2026-03-01 0.287428 0.505073 0.891124 1.650269 3.166586 6.193356 13.051029
2026-03-08 0.263709 0.473559 0.854983 1.625678 3.213090 6.491135 14.214373
2026-03-15 0.239758 0.439269 0.810193 1.578845 3.208149 6.681641 15.173534
2026-03-22 0.231922 0.434527 0.820844 1.644442 3.447696 7.433546 17.598194
2026-03-29 0.222332 0.425362 0.821775 1.689783 3.649421 8.132467 20.036745
2026-04-05 0.212492 0.414681 0.818443 1.725387 3.834005 8.820451 22.591261
2026-04-12 0.201942 0.401506 0.808569 1.745256 3.984686 9.450711 25.125717
2026-04-19 0.188050 0.380116 0.779343 1.717982 4.018904 9.797207 26.942766
2026-04-26 0.171391 0.351428 0.731807 1.643013 3.925918 9.803645 27.775737
2026-05-03 0.158614 0.329982 0.698110 1.596956 3.899741 9.982509 29.167484
2026-05-10 0.147847 0.312010 0.670487 1.562462 3.898887 10.230213 30.829697